Once again BofA appears to be the perp during a gold sell off as they dumped 139,000 oz (4.3 tonne) of physical gold on March 18 and 19 coincident with the gold sell off.
See also my post from one month ago where BofA was also complicit in the sell off:
https://x.com/DtDS_WSS/status/2027047676135575742
🇩🇪 Übersetzung
Wieder einmal scheint die BofA der Täter bei einem Goldausverkauf zu sein, da sie am 18. und 19. März zeitgleich mit dem Goldausverkauf 139.000 Unzen (4,3 Tonnen) physisches Gold abgeladen hat.
Siehe auch meinen Beitrag von vor einem Monat, in dem die BofA ebenfalls am Ausverkauf beteiligt war:
https://x.com/DtDS_WSS/status/2027047676135575742
The April gold futures contract, an active month, has record LOW open interest with one day to first notice. It appears the scramble for yellow metal is now on hold.
OI stands at 22,336 contracts (Friday's preliminary number), 39% below the 6 year average:
🇩🇪 Übersetzung
Der Gold-Futures-Kontrakt im April, ein aktiver Monat, weist mit einem Tag bis zur ersten Benachrichtigung ein rekordniedriges offenes Interesse auf. Es scheint, dass der Kampf um gelbes Metall nun auf Eis liegt.
OI liegt bei 22.336 Verträgen (vorläufige Zahl vom Freitag), 39 % unter dem 6-Jahres-Durchschnitt:
After 2 months of publishing erroneous reports, the CME group finally fixes their error. The Deliveries on the Volume & Open Interest report has been shown as zero each day for 2 months. Friday's report finally shows a non-zero number.
Does anyone at CME actually look at what they publish?
@CMEGroup
🇩🇪 Übersetzung
Nachdem die CME-Gruppe zwei Monate lang fehlerhafte Berichte veröffentlicht hat, behebt sie endlich ihren Fehler. Die Lieferungen im Volumen- und Open Interest-Bericht werden seit 2 Monaten jeden Tag mit Null angezeigt. Der Bericht vom Freitag zeigt endlich eine Zahl ungleich Null.
Schaut sich irgendjemand bei CME tatsächlich an, was sie veröffentlichen?
@CMEGroup
As comex silver open interest evaporates, trading volume hits record highs. Twitchy index fingers and hot money have invaded.
Plus, analysis of gold and silver open interest with one day to first notice ... at my substack, which doesn't invade your venmo account.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/as-comex-silver-open-interest-evaporates
🇩🇪 Übersetzung
Da Comex Silber offenes Interesse verdampft, trifft Handelsvolumen Rekordhöhen. Twitchy Zeigefinger und heißes Geld sind eingedrungen.
Außerdem, Analyse von Gold und Silber offenes Interesse mit einem Tag bis zum ersten Hinweis... an meinem Substack, das nicht in Ihr Venmo-Konto eindringt.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/as-comex-silver-open-interest-evaporates
TLDR: It’s possible BofA was the primary perp behind the gold price carnage in late January to early February where they dumped at least 18.6 tonne of physical gold.
As I predicted, delivery notices for the roughly 400,000 oz of undelivered metal on the February gold contract were, in fact, issued in the waning days of the delivery period by Bank of America or Citibank.
Two days ago, I posted that the open position may be held by a naked short and the position would be passed to either BofA or Citibank for settlement.
https://x.com/DtDS_WSS/status/2025571323360031227
Last night, BofA issued delivery notices for 3,963 contracts (396,300 oz) with only 1 day remaining in the delivery period.
At this point, I could take a victory lap and leave it at BofA mopped up a naked short position indicating that big gold shorts are playing gold futures on the brink of insanity.
However, now that I know who issued the delivery notices, I’m looking back at BofA’s activity on the February contract.
BofA’s activity is related to the recent volatility. The only question is the magnitude of BofA's impact.
Nearly all of the carnage in the gold market was between Jan 29 (gold at $5,442/oz) and Feb 2 (gold bottomed at $4,410). There’s a weekend in there so all that action happened during 3 trading days … Jan 29, 30 and Feb 2.
On first notice day (Jan 29), BofA stopped 12 contracts which implies BofA only had long positions and no short positions. If fact, BofA may have had many more long positions which just happened to not be matched with a short and remained undelivered on first notice day.
The next day (Jan 30), trading volume was very high at 8,374 contracts. That night, BofA issued delivery notices for 2,012 which implies that BofA had shorted AT LEAST 2,012 contracts that day in the midst of the gold price carnage.
BofA didn’t issue any other delivery notices during the remainder of the delivery period until last night (Feb 25) where they issued notices on 3,963 contracts.
My alternative explanation is … BofA shorted not just 2,012 contracts during the gold price carnage, but 2,012 + 3,963 = 5,975 contracts (597,500 oz or 18.6 tonne).
In this scenario, BofA would have been the primary perpetrator of the gold price carnage.
Furthermore, and more importantly … BofA did not issue delivery notices on the 393,000 oz until the end of the contract. Why? Did BofA’s have to rummage around for some metal? Is comex’s biggest player out of gold?
🇩🇪 Übersetzung
TLDR: Es ist möglich, dass BofA die primäre Perp hinter der Goldpreiskarnage im späten Januar bis Anfang Februar war, wo sie mindestens 18.6 Tonnen physisches Gold gedumpt.
Wie ich vorhersagte, wurden die Lieferscheine für die rund 400.000 Unze unveräußerten Metalle am Februar Goldvertrag tatsächlich in den abgeschwächten Tagen der Lieferfrist von Bank of America oder Citibank ausgestellt.
Vor zwei Tagen veröffentlichte ich, dass die offene Position von einem nackten Kurzschluss gehalten werden kann und die Position entweder an BofA oder Citibank zur Abwicklung übergeben würde.
http://x.com/DtDS WSS/status/2025571323360031227
Letzte Nacht, BofA ausgestellt Lieferscheine für 3.963 Verträge (396.300 oz) mit nur 1 Tag in der Lieferfrist.
An diesem Punkt könnte ich einen Sieg lap nehmen und es bei BofA verlassen eine nackte kurze Position, die anzeigt, dass große Gold Shorts Gold Futures am Rande der Wahnsinn spielen.
Aber jetzt, da ich weiß, wer die Lieferscheine ausgestellt hat, blicke ich auf die Tätigkeit von BofA im Februar Vertrag zurück.
Die Tätigkeit von BofA steht im Zusammenhang mit der jüngsten Volatilität. Die einzige Frage ist die Größe der Auswirkungen von BofA.
Nahezu die ganze Karnage auf dem Goldmarkt war zwischen 29 Jan (Gold bei $5,442/oz) und 2 Feb (Gold unter $4,410). Es gibt ein Wochenende dort, so dass alles, was während 3 Handelstagen geschah ... 29. Jan. 30 und 2. Feb.
Am ersten Mitteilungstag (Jan 29) hielt BofA 12 Verträge auf, die BofA nur lange Positionen und keine kurzen Positionen impliziert. Wenn die Tatsache, BofA hatte möglicherweise viele mehr lange Positionen, die nur zufällig nicht mit einem kurzen übereinstimmen und blieb am ersten Mitteilungstag unbefreit.
Am nächsten Tag (Jan 30) war das Handelsvolumen bei 8.374 Verträgen sehr hoch. In dieser Nacht veröffentlichte BofA Lieferscheine für 2.012, was bedeutet, dass BofA AT LEAST 2.012 Verträge an jenem Tag mitten in der Goldpreiskarnage gekürzt hatte.
BofA hat während der restlichen Lieferfrist bis letzte Nacht (Feb 25) keine weiteren Lieferscheine veröffentlicht, in denen sie auf 3.963 Verträge Bekanntmachungen veröffentlichten.
Meine alternative Erklärung ist... BofA verkürzte nicht nur 2.012 Verträge während der Goldpreiskarnage, sondern 2.012 + 3.963 = 5975 Verträge (597.500 Unzen oder 18.6 Tonnen).
In diesem Szenario wäre BofA der wichtigste Täter der Goldpreiskarnage gewesen.
Darüber hinaus, und noch wichtiger... BofA gab keine Lieferscheine auf den 393,000 Unzen bis zum Ende des Vertrags aus. Warum? Musste BofA für einige Metalle rummieren? Ist Comexs größter Spieler aus Gold?
With just 4 days to last notice on the February gold contract, remaining open interest is 4,366 (436,600 oz or 13.5 tonne). This is 24x the average OI at this point in the delivery cycle and more than 2x greater than any prior contract.
February OI is greater than the upcoming March contract! That's probably never happened before.
This short probably held these contracts since first notice day. I'm saying that because OI has been flat for weeks. I've learned that profile is the signature of a naked short. See the plots below.
What's this mean? It could be that this short hasn't yet delivered because he was hoping to close the position. If so, he's now trapped as liquidity this late in the contract is punk. Friday's volume was 134.
Or, it could mean that he's a naked short ... doesn't have metal to deliver. In that case, he's going to have to find someone to bail him out.
I've seen this pattern several times over the years. In those scenarios either BofA or Citibank issued delivery notices in the final days and that is a WTF moment.
My interpretation of those events is that the naked short does an off-exchange deal with one of those 2 banks. This is anomalous because banks nearly always deliver in the first days following first notice.
Why should the banks bail out the short? I'm sure they pick up some fiat for their trouble.
The take away is ... the physical market is tight and trading during the delivery period may be influenced by those without physical gold.
Training Grok to be suspicious of all the drivel he consumes ...
https://x.com/DtDS_WSS/status/2024243943525736851
Extreme silver withdrawals continue at comex vaults with 3.4 million moving out of registered and 3.2 million oz departing the vaults.
R to @DtDS_WSS: And gold doubled from about 5% to 10% ...
R to @DtDS_WSS: Plot above is for active contracts only, FYI.
Comex becomes less about paper and more about physical metal. As open interest falls and physical deliveries soar, the fraction of contracts that stand for delivery has more than tripled:
Silver (SI contract), deliveries / maximum OI:
After all the angst in the last 2 weeks, gold remains at the upper end of its 58% per year trajectory.
Hmmm ... I sniff the signature of a naked gold short.
Odd that 3,500 contracts haven't issued delivery notices:
Bitcoin is headed to its melt value
Another comex technical melt down ... this time it isn't their servers but with reporting. The Issues and Stops report doesn't match the deliveries on the Volume and Open Interest report. Deliveries are being reported as zero:
@CMEGroup
The January silver contract sets a new record for inactive contracts as more than 49 million oz trade hands.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/the-january-silver-contract-sets
Greater than most active month contracts:
In 1964 my friend Bubba earned five quarters for each hour of labor at his minimum wage job. That's a buck & 25 cents.
The silver in those five quarters is now worth $93.40. Bubba was lazy and didn't work overtime so he only earned $186,800 in silver each year.
Question for you ... could my lazy friend Bubba afford a house today?
Answer: Yep ... IF the bankers hadn't done a rug pull on his currency.
Still got fiat?
Bullion banks are a key driver of physical silver buying at comex ... and that binge accelerate during yesterday's record buy.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/bullion-banks-are-a-key-driver-of
The last obtanium?
Was the start of the China-USA financial war March 28, 2025? A huge player exposed comex's inability to deliver physical gold resulting in a two week rally which added $500/oz.
Hat tip to Vince: @Sorenthek
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/was-the-start-of-the-china-usa-financial
Today's silver price spike is coincident with a rush for physical on the December contract. Volume so far (at noon) is 2,370 contracts (11.9 million oz). Usually most of those trades result in new contracts so the single day record of 836 contracts is likely to be broken.
An oversized roll drops open interest to near average levels on the December gold and silver contracts with one day to first notice.
A record number of contract closings. What's up with that?
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/open-interest-drops-to-typical-levels
Physical deliveries remain strong on the November gold and silver contracts. Meanwhile the pivotal December contracts are running hot at 2 days to first notice.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/physical-deliveries-remain-strong
2025: the year of the rush to physical
The comex gold sell off is all paper driven as the record physical buy continues.
Analyzing comex data since the price roller coaster began last Friday (Oct 17) indicates that paper shorts flooded the market at record high volume driving the price down. December contract OI dropped as paper longs folded. However, physical gold bought on the October contract continued at a sizzling record pace. Two large players emerged, BofA and Morgan Stanley house accounts, and bought much of the physical gold.
More here:
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/the-comex-gold-sell-off-is-all-paper
Demand for physical gold continues to surge on the October gold contract. Tack on another 12 tonne in a single day's activity.
https://econanalytics.substack.com/p/the-run-on-physical-gold-accelerates-9cb
Gimme gold ... NOW:
Gold market capitalization has increased $12 Trillion year to date. That's a T, not a B. You think your price chart and technical analysis means something? This is "divine" intervention and the deity doesn't give a flip about charts.
In "unrelated" matters ... JP Morgan customers continue their gold buying surge. They, and others, bought another 212,000 oz of physical yesterday bringing the record 6 day run to 1,239,400 oz.
More at my (free) substack:
https://x.com/DtDS_WSS/status/1978181296472928762