🧵ORBÁN'S WAR ON FREE SPEECH: THE RECEIPTS J.D. Vance criticized European democracies for censorship — but praised Viktor Orbán for sharing values incl. on free speech. Many on the right agreed. But did Orbán actually support free speech, or were his critics right? A thread.
My first time in seeing this metric. Extremely startling concerning people's economic expectations. I mean, this is dire stuff, worse even than 1979-80. Terrible! And this is BEFORE gas prices reversed. White House must stop this Golden Age stuff.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1UKei
Während Patrick Fischer bei seinen Spielern eine Null-Toleranz-Politik verfolgte, setzte er die Mannschaft an den Olympischen Spielen 2022 grossen Risiken aus. Offen ist, wie viel Verständnis das Team für die Doppelmoral aufbringt. https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/gefaelschtes-covid-zertifikat-zweifel-an-patrick-fischers-glaubwuerdigkeit-als-nationaltrainer-ld.1933562?utm_campaign=mrf-twitter-NZZ&mrfcid=2026041469de340bf375de43b11fa57d
1. Für Gutverdiener über der Bemessungsgrenze wird dann die Private gleich teuer oder sogar billiger, auch für Familien mit Kindern. Für 1500€/Monat kann man bei der PKV 2 Erwachsene und 2 Kinder unterbekommen.
2. Viele Gutverdiener werden wechseln
3. Es bleiben
A. Geringverdiener die tendenziell wenig Beitrag bringen
B. Vorerkrankte Gutverdiener, die nicht mehr in die private kommen und tendenziell teuer sind
Das ganze dürfte unter dem Strich nach hinten losgehen.
Bleibt zu hoffen, dass es zum endgültigen Zusammenbruch des Bismarck -Systems führt und wir mittelfristig ein System wie in der Schweiz oder den USA bekommen.
Vorsicht, das hier macht keine Schlagzeilen ⚠️ Der Preis für Flüssiggas in Europa ist gerade auf den niedrigsten Stand seit Ende Februar (Kriegsbeginn) gefallen. Gründe: Sinkende Nachfrage infolge der Krise, plus die asiatischen Nationen wechseln von LNG zu Kohle
Remember, it was a financial crisis that led to protests earlier in the year
According to @aimendean, within 10 days the blockade would devalue the rial from 1.5 million/USD to 2 million/USD...a disaster
Reports that the country is on the verge of economic collapse are accurate
This can't go on. It just can't.
Anders als @hwieduwilt (oder @hwieduwilt?) liebe ich die juristische Sprache. 😍😍😍
Aber sie die Sprache unseres #Elfenbeinturm s. Dort - und eben nur dort - hat sie ihre Berechtigung. Wer in der "realen Welt" verstanden werden will, muss sich einer anderen Sprache bedienen.
"Die Zukunft gehört den Männern und Frauen des Friedens. Am Ende wird die Gerechtigkeit immer über die Ungerechtigkeit triumphieren, so wie die Gewalt, entgegen allem Anschein, nie das letzte Wort haben wird." @Pontifex, 13.4.26
Kontokündigungen gegen Andersdenkende in Deutschland - DE-BANKING
@mfbraukmann @gottschalkmdb @AfD_SLT
lass Graphen sprechen:
Krankengeld (inflationsbereinigt), Deutschland 2000-2024.
Die deutsche Fluglinie feiert ihren hundertsten Geburtstag, überschattet wird das von den Streiks von Piloten und Kabinenpersonal. Diese sind auch ein Symptom für tieferliegende Probleme. https://www.nzz.ch/der-andere-blick/ist-premium-anspruch-auch-premium-wirklichkeit-bei-der-lufthansa-faellt-beides-noch-auseinander-ld.1933681?utm_campaign=mrf-twitter-NZZ&mrfcid=2026041469de340bf375de43b11fa57c
POTUS is breaking the Iranian regime
Keep up the pressure.
Stay the course.
It won’t be much longer.
And where is @Pontifex? @antonioguterres? @EmmanuelMacron? @Keir_Starmer?
No Jews, no news.
Our latest video in our partnership with @DGlaucomflecken summarizes a trial evaluating the clinical efficacy of tecovirimat against human clade II mpox. Read the full study for free: https://nej.md/DrG38
"Geplante Entlastungen. "So entlastet, fliege davon": Anwalt spottet über Koalition"
Interview mit RA @FranzOnBrands auf @focusonline.
By the way: @FranzOnBrands folgen lohnt sich! #Empfehlung!
https://www.focus.de/politik/deutschland/ich-bin-so-entlastet-ich-fliege-einer-feder-gleich-fast-davon-anwalt-spottet-ueber-koalition_cd44c0b9-ee6d-4412-a2ab-1c3c4bad6009.html
“The Supreme Court banned race discrimination in college admissions and Asian acceptance rates increased. I have no idea how these two might be related. I am a reporter.”
R to @FrankfurtZack: @grok wie viel zahlt man als Minijober wenn man keine andere Einnahme hat Stichwort mindest Bemessungsgrenze
Von der Logik her muss dann auch der Minijob weg.
Treasury is moving aggressively with Economic Fury, maintaining maximum pressure on Iran. Financial institutions should be on notice that the department is leveraging the full range of available tools and authorities and is prepared to deploy secondary sanctions against foreign financial institutions that continue to support Iran’s activities. The short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil already stranded at sea is set to expire in a few days and will not be renewed.
The Iran Echo Chamber is telling you the regime in Iran can survive a blockade — so don’t impose a blockade. @FDD @miadmaleki, who until recently led the Iran sanctions campaign at Treasury, explains in this point-by-point rebuttal, why a world of hurt is coming.👇
"Griechenland: Social-Media-Verbot für unter 15-Jährige geplant"
@CHBeckRecht-Aktuell, @beckonlinede
https://rsw.beck.de/aktuell/daily/meldung/detail/griechenland-planung-gesetz-social-media-verbot-jugendliche-unter-15-jahre
R to @Arnd_Diringer: "Griechenland will Minderjährigen unter 15 Jahren den Zugang zu sozialen Medien künftig verbieten. Wie Ministerpräsident Kyriakos Mitsotakis auf TikTok(!!!) ankündigte, soll ab dem 1. Januar 2027 ein entsprechendes Gesetz in Kraft treten."
Germany’s shutdown of its entire fleet of nuclear reactors—among the best in the world—will go down as one of the most catastrophic acts of self-inflicted wealth destruction in history. More remarkably, it was enthusiastically applauded as a shining beacon of climate policy by many self-proclaimed “progressives,” seemingly indifferent to the billions of tons of additional emissions and air pollution it would entail.
Germany is in really, really dire straits, for a host of other reasons as well. But they're still feeling cozy and comfortable, mistaking decline for stability.
https://quillette.com/2026/04/12/germanys-cozy-catastrophe-economics-reform/
McDonald's Adds New Ozempic McFlurry https://buff.ly/HzfazV1
1. "Oil exports have been a constrained source of FX"
If oil was already a constrained source of FX, then cutting it to zero via blockade isn't manageable. The rial lost 60%+ post-war, food inflation hit 105%, and Iran is printing 10-million-rial notes worth ~$7. You don't get to argue "oil didn't matter much" and then claim a 6-month runway.
2. "War depresses import demand"
War doesn't eliminate import need, it shifts it. Iran imports ~$159M/day in industrial inputs, machinery, medicine, and raw materials. Depressed consumer demand for smartphones doesn't offset the collapse of supply chains keeping factories, refineries, and hospitals running.
3. "Non-oil trade with Iraq, Turkey, Afghanistan is significant"
These exports are mostly petrochemicals and metals, already down 13% in value befoire the blockade. Production facilities have been hit by strikes, and Iran can't import the catalysts and industrial inputs needed to keep what's left running. Also, lower production needs to address domestic need. Don't forget about gasoline shortage. 90%+ of Iran's $109.7B in annual trade flows through now-blockaded southern ports. Alternative routes via Jask, Chabahar, and the Caspian handle less than 10% of volume.
4. "Iran has $100B+ in international reserves"
These are in restricted/frozen/blocked accounts and inaccessible, that's exactly why the regime made unfreezing them a non-negotiable precondition in Islamabad. Even if a host country made the risky decision to release funds, good luck finding a bank willing to touch them. Obama had to fly pallets of cash to Tehran because no bank in the world would process the transfer. "China might oblige"? Under what mechanism, and through which correspondent bank? These aren't reserves.
5. "6-month window before the economy unravels"
Iran's economy was in freefall before the blockade, inflation at 47.5%, currency in collapse, largest bank failed in December, mass protests since January. Every day of blockade accelerates the unraveling. There is no 6-month cushion.
6. "Iran was at the negotiating table in good faith"
Iran still hasn't reopened the Strait per the ceasefire. 230 loaded tankers are waiting. That's not good faith, that's leverage Iran tried to hold and is now losing.
7. "The blockade isn't really enforceable"
The U.S. Navy is physically present and CENTCOM declared it would interdict all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports. This isn't a sanctions regime requiring bank compliance, it's warships.
A blockade doesn't need to be permanent to be devastating. No oil revenue means no imports, no imports means hyperinflation, and Iran's "diversified" economy runs on inputs it can no longer get.
🚨 Breaking: Channel 14's @DBalazada reports that President Pezeshkian had a nervous breakdown after the delegation returned from Islamabad without a deal, as the economy is on the verge of collapse and he believes everyone will blame him 👇
Ich schätze mal den geplanten Maßnahmen werden 25 Prozent der Facharzttermine zum Opfer fallen…
Martin Dürrenmatt über perfekte Scheren, Smalltalk-Themen und seine Verwandtschaft mit dem Schriftsteller Friedrich Dürrenmatt. https://www.nzz.ch/folio/ein-starcoiffeur-verraet-welcher-schnitt-jeder-frau-steht-und-warum-grau-die-schoenste-haarfarbe-ist-ld.1920926?utm_campaign=mrf-twitter-NZZ&mrfcid=2026041469de340bf375de43b11fa55e
🚨🇮🇹 Italy just betrayed the free world, sold out Israel and the US to Iran for a few more barrels of cheap oil and safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Sad!
🚨 BREAKING - PRESIDENT OF IRAN IN PANIC MODE
Islamic Republic President Pezeshkian almost had a nervous breakdown when the Iranian delegation returned from the Islamabad negotiations with @VP JD Vance empty-handed, and President Trump (@realDonaldTrump) decided to blockade the Strait of Hormuz.
Senior Iran Analyst Dror Balazada (@DBalazada) brings an Earth-shattering quote from the seemingly mentally unstable Pezeshkian:
“Our economy was already just weeks away from total collapse. Now that they, the Americans, are cutting off our almost sole source of income, I don’t know where we’ll get the money to pay salaries.”
🔴Die Bundesregierung will die Tankstellenpreise für Benzin und Diesel zeitlich befristet um 17 Cent senken. Den entsprechenden Gesetzesentwurf kann man hier in allen Details nachlesen. https://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/plus69de61c029e54b63db390d40/gesetzentwurf-lesen-sie-hier-das-tankrabatt-gesetz-in-allen-details.html
To Win at All Costs https://brownstone.org/articles/to-win-at-all-costs/?utm_medium=onesignal&utm_source=push via @brownstoneinst @Jikkyleaks @missyTHX1138 YIKES!
In our new paper, w/ Sunny Kim and @VPrasadMDMPH, we explain why observation should remain the standard of care in high-risk Smoldering Myeloma
What is Smoldering Myeloma?
How OpenEvidence failed?
How key data lacking from NEJM were made available by the german HTA agency?
🧵1/
Die beitragsfreie Mitversicherung von Ehepartnern wird stark eingeschränkt. Die Krankenkassen bleiben weiter auf den Zusatzkosten von rund zehn Milliarden Euro für Grundsicherungsempfänger sitzen. https://www.nzz.ch/international/mehr-zuzahlungen-fuer-medikamente-geringere-bonuszahlungen-fuer-aerzte-so-will-die-deutsche-gesundheitsministerin-das-milliardenloch-stopfen-ld.1933537?utm_campaign=mrf-twitter-NZZ&mrfcid=2026041469de340bf375de43b11fa5d3
Uber's CTO told @LauraBratton5 that AI coding tools—particularly Anthropic’s Claude Code—has already maxed out its 2026 AI budget 📈
“I'm back to the drawing board, because the budget I thought I would need is blown away already,” Neppalli Naga said.
https://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/applied-ai/uber-cto-shows-claude-code-can-blow-ai-budgets
Literally nobody cares what this idiot says.
Trump is turning everyone against him, even his allies.
That's not a coincidence; it's a logical consequence of the Intervention Trap.
It starts with a regulation here and there. Then it turns to war to ensure the hegemon's economic stability and superiority.
Now we see threats against former foreign supporters of politicians.
The next step will be a weaponization of the dollar, the global reserve currency and backbone of the financial system.
That changes the relative costs for countries to opt out of the dollar system.
You‘d assume it’s the biggest rivals who do it first.
I think it’s wrong. It will be the former allies who get crushed economically in the meantime.
The rival will only offer an alternative.
The US actions will change the global order.